Investment in education and infrastructure is crucial for driving long-term sustainable economic growth, fostering innovation, and improving workforce capabilities.
HSBC believes the potential upside risks can offset the temporary economic disruptions in Vietnam, and the country's economic recovery continues to firm up.
Mr. Ahmed Yeganeh, Head of Wholesale Banking at HSBC Vietnam, shares his views with VnEconomy / VET on the new economy landscape and the strong development of technology for businesses.
HSBC believes that given it regularly invests heavily in infrastructure development, equal to 6 per cent of GDP each year, Vietnam is likely to lead the ASEAN region in this regard. To sustain strong economic growth and adapt to rising urbanization, the country needs to continue upgrading and expanding its existing infrastructure.
HSBC’s recently-released “Vietnam at a Glance - Returning to the old strategy” report shows a multi-faceted picture of Vietnam’s economy, with exports weakening due to a decline in mobile phone shipments but domestic retail sales growth being strong. The report also noted that inflationary pressure will be stronger from the second half of 2022.
According to HSBC, the total value of GSS (green, social, and sustainability) bond issuances in Vietnam in 2021 was $1.5 billion; nearly five-fold higher than the $300 million posted in 2020, and growth will remain stable over the next three years. Vietnam is therefore the second-largest green bond market in ASEAN, after Singapore.
As part of its commitment to arrange $12 billion in sustainable development financing in Vietnam to 2030, HSBC has signed a letter on the assessment and provision of sustainable financial solutions for the Trungnam Group, to help it develop renewable energy projects throughout the country.
According to a report from HSBC, Vietnam’s inflation rate will increase to 3 per cent in 2022, up from its previous forecast of 2.7 per cent, but will not present a significant risk to the economy. Vietnam’s macroeconomy will improve this year. Retail sales rose 1.3 per cent year-on-year in January.
In its capital arrangement plan to 2030, HSBC commits to financing $12 billion to help Vietnam achieve net-zero emissions. It was the underwriter of green bonds, social bonds, sustainable bonds, and sustainability-linked bonds last year, and is Asia’s largest, with a trading volume nearly double compared to 2020.
Interrupted supply in Vietnam’s leather and textile industry was the main factor behind the country’s exports falling 5.4 per cent year-on-year in August, according to a report from HSBC.
In a report forecasting Vietnam’s economic development, HSBC has lowered its growth projection from 6.6 per cent to 6.1 per cent due to the ongoing Covid-19 outbreak. It also predicted that the Vietnam dong (VND) exchange rate will fluctuate widely in the second half of this year.