Topic: stock market

As of the end of September, customer deposit balances at 32 leading securities companies had reached nearly VND67 trillion ($2.69 billion), down by more than VND3 trillion ($120 million) compared to the end of the second quarter. This shows that the amount of money withdrawn from the stock market is not significant and individual investors still consider securities an attractive investment channel compared to other channels such as gold, virtual currencies, bank savings, and real estate.

Mr. Michael Kokalari, Chief Economist at VinaCapital, said the valuations of Vietnamese bank stocks are currently quite low compared to expected earnings growth of at least 30 per cent in 2022 and 20 per cent in 2023. In the long term, the banking sector will continue to be attractive due to high margins, well-controlled asset quality, low mortgage and retail penetration, and rising earnings.

Vietnam’s stock market fell from 1,500 points at the beginning of 2022 to 1,074.52 points on October 6, and foreign capital has continued to be withdrawn. However, VinaCapital analysts still have a positive assessment of the prospects for Vietnamese stocks and believe now is a good time to accumulate stocks.

The average transaction value per session in the stock market reached nearly VND23 trillion ($963 million) in the first nine months of 2022, down 14.5 per cent compared to the average in 2021. In the derivatives market, the average trading volume of futures on the VN30-Index reached 210,910 contracts per session, up 12 per cent from the average last year.

Many securities investors are concerned with the stock market being under a lot of external risk pressure, as it is now. However, analysts have pointed out many advantages in the country’s stock market, such as low price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios and a higher return on equity (ROE) in the VN-Index than in the region.

According to KBSV Securities, despite the ongoing decline, the VN-Index is still forecast to reach 1,330 points by the end of the year, with average EPS growth of 18.3 per cent forecast for companies listed on HSX.

In an updated report, Dragon Capital said that in an environment of rising interest rates, expected returns in the stock market are unlikely to be outstanding. In the short term, the market will see many fluctuations depending on developments around the world. However, the influence of external factors on Vietnam is much lower than in emerging countries and is not systematic.

At an investment seminar with the topic “Transforming yourself with the market”, held on September 16, analysts said securities remain an attractive investment channel. As of the end of the second quarter of this year, there was about VND70 trillion ($2.95 billion) in cash lying idle in securities accounts, with investors waiting for favorable opportunities to return to the market.

The Asia Commercial Bank (ACB) has received an award as the “Listed company with the best investor relations (IR) in 2022”. The award honors businesses that have contributed to building a transparent and fair stock market and aims to maximize the value of listed companies through effective IR activities.

The positive long-term outlook for Vietnam’s stock market has begun to show signs of triggering cash flows from actively disbursing funds. According to SSI Research, in August, cash flows from funds were more active and more evenly disbursed, with net buying of VND260 billion ($11 million). The number of funds actively net buying increased, while the level of net withdrawal by some funds has fallen gradually.