Banking & Finance

The BIDV Securities Company (BSC) has forecast two scenarios for Vietnam’s stock market in September. Under the first, the VN-Index will balance out at 1,270-1,280 points, moving towards 1,300-1,320 points as liquidity improves and positive sentiment spreads through the market. The Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HoSE) allowing the trading of odd lots from September 2 will also have a positive effect on the market. The second scenario will happen if developed economies show signs of recession and negative sentiment appears, with the VN-Index forecast at around 1,240-1,250 points.

Data from the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) shows that after eight consecutive quarters of growth, individual deposits to banks had declined as of the end of June. Experts cite two reasons: the amount of idle funds held by businesses and individuals no longer being so abundant, and credit sources becoming limited as banks have hit their lending limits.

Food prices increased 2.3 per cent year-on-year in August; the highest rise since November 2020 and the fourth consecutive month of higher prices. Transport services increased 8.94 per cent year-on-year in the month; the lowest level since April. The Bao Viet Securities Company (BVSC) has forecast that annual inflation will come in at around 3.1-3.5 per cent.

The Ministry of Finance has reported that reductions to floor levels in environmental protection taxes for gasoline, oil, and grease will cut State budget revenue this year by more than VND33 trillion ($1.4 billion).

Foreign investors posted an unexpected net withdrawal in the first session of the new month on September 5. There remain many stocks going against the trend and attracting strong capital inflows, however, such as steel and chemical fertilizer.

In place for a decade, the Law on Deposit Insurance will be revised to match changing circumstances and international practices, helping Deposit Insurance of Vietnam (DIV) participate more effectively in the process of restructuring credit institutions and better protecting depositors.