The Centre for Economic and Business Research (CEBR) forecasts that Vietnam will become the second-largest economy in Southeast Asia after Indonesia and the 20th-largest economy in the world by 2036.
With impressive growth posted in the third quarter, United Overseas Bank (UOB) has raised its growth forecast for Vietnam in 2022 to 8.2 per cent; significantly higher than its previous forecast of 7 per cent. UOB believes that, in 2023, Vietnam’s economy will be affected to a certain degree in the context of demand in main markets continuing to slow down. Growth next year is therefore expected to be 6.6 per cent.
Optimistic about Vietnam’s economy recovering strongly after Covid-19, primarily due to greater exports and the recent return of foreign tourists, the World Bank (WB) has forecast that GDP could grow 7.2 per cent this year. It also forecasts that inflation will come in at 3.8 per cent this year and 4 per cent next.