A recent inspection by the Civil Aviation Authority of Vietnam (CAAV) into airline ticket sales, pricing, and disclosures has found no violations of government regulations. However, the review highlighted inconsistencies in how airlines present fare information to consumers and a lack of awareness regarding promotional offers.
State-owned commercial banks such as Vietcombank, VietinBank, and Agribank increased deposit interest rates by 0.8 to 1.3 per cent on September 27. This will likely push up all deposit rates.
Coastal real estate prices in Ha Long city in northern Quang Ninh province have increased sharply over recent years. They are still, however, only two-thirds of those seen in traditional coastal real estate markets such as Da Nang, Nha Trang, and Phu Quoc Island. According to investors, price rises will therefore be difficult to stop in Ha Long city, especially given the shortage of real estate in prime locations.
The pressure to issue government bonds to fund public investment projects is not overly high so interest rates should increase slowly. However, according to some analysts, rates may increase faster as the pace of public investment disbursement increases from now to the end of the year.
Vietnam’s inflation rate will come in at 2.25 per cent for the opening months of 2022, which is controllable, State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) Governor Nguyen Thi Hong told the third session of the 15th National Assembly on June 8. The rise mainly stems from higher prices for goods globally. Therefore, until the end of the year, monetary policy must closely follow the disbursement of recovery packages to avoid an impact on inflation.
According to the General Statistics Office, increases in food and gasoline prices pushed up the CPI in May by 0.38 per cent compared to April. The CPI in the first five months of the year rose 2.25 per cent year-on-year. Core inflation in May was 0.29 per cent month-on-month. There are concerns that Vietnam’s economy will face inflationary pressure into the future.
Rising foreign remittances in recent times have greatly helped the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV)’s management over exchange rates. But as the USD is becoming stronger while remittances only help “contain” the USD/VND exchange rate in the short term, KB Securities Vietnam has forecast that the rate may increase 0.5-1 per cent in 2022.
According to the Vietnam National Administration of Tourism (VNAT), each year the tourism industry needs nearly 40,000 additional workers, but the number of students graduating each year is only about 15,000. Demand in the industry in the 2022-2030 period is forecast to account for 8 per cent of the total.
Vietnam has recorded 6,324 cases of community transmission of Covid-19 in the last week, or nearly 1,000 each day. Many localities have had to change the level of prevention and control. The country has injected over 86 million doses of vaccine to date.
According to a report from the Vietcombank Securities Limited Company (VCBS), the VN-Index is forecast to continue to set new highs in the closing months of 2021, aiming for the threshold of 1,500 points. Trade will also be active in the group of highly speculative small-cap stocks, which are forecast to continue to attract cash flow.
Social distancing around Vietnam has limited the supply of coffee in the international market, resulting in prices remaining “relatively high” into 2022.
The prices of houses and certain types of real estate in most localities are on an upwards trajectory. Projects with central locations in major cities have very high prices, at up to VND650-800 million ($28,550-$35,145) per sq m. Despite the prices, however, transaction numbers continue to increase.
Despite a decline in domestic consumption amid Covid-19, Vietnam’s motor car imports remained high in July, at 17,000 units worth more than $332 million, bringing total imports in the first seven months of the year to nearly 100,000 units worth $2.17 billion, an increase of 116.9 per cent in volume and 111.4 per cent in value over the same period last year.